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GBP/USD 技術分析 rss 技術分析

波動性

最後的20個交易日確定最高/最低的收盤價;年度日增長標準偏差-標準偏差


最高值 最低值 週 % 月度 % YTD % 標準偏差
EUR/USD 1.3429 1.3188 -0.98% -1.65% 1.66% 3.73%
GBP/USD 1.6913 1.6569 -0.26% -2.19% 6.66% 4.26%
USD/JPY 104.03 102.04 1.01% 1.78% 35.01% 4.45%
USD/CHF 0.9158 0.9023 0.74% 0.98% -2.30% 4.18%
AUD/USD 0.9353 0.9261 0.25% -0.64% -9.06% 5.47%
USD/CAD 1.0982 1.0885 0.16% 0.99% 7.76% 4.62%


關聯

最近20個交易日的日增長確定關聯繫數


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.82 -0.88 -0.92 0.04 -0.64
GBP/USD 0.82 1 -0.73 -0.58 0.07 -0.46
USD/JPY -0.88 -0.73 1 0.88 0.09 0.55
USD/CHF -0.92 -0.58 0.88 1 -0.03 0.66
AUD/USD 0.04 0.07 0.09 -0.03 1 -0.37
USD/CAD -0.64 -0.46 0.55 0.66 -0.37 1




工具分析



GBP/USD

On Monday (10:30 CET and 16:30 CET) two macroeconomic indicators are going to be released: Manufacturing Indexes in Great Britain and US correspondingly. These diffusion indexes are based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. They tend to represent a long-term data on business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. We suppose that a consequent release of monthly indexes may provoke a long term volatility of GBP/USD currency pair. For now futures and options trading volumes approach resistance of 80,000 claims. Conservative traders may wait for the breakdown of this mark while looking for a new entrance point.


Price has approached triple top at 1.57036 mark - an upper side of a triangular zone. Its movement continuation is probably defined by bullish sentiments in frame of a rising trend. We may look for this breakdown while opening long positions. It should be remarked that a trend line is verified by ParabolicSAR and Donchian Channel lower boundary. So we may use the current fractal support for the risk limitation. RSI-Bars oscillator confirmes tha global upward tendency. However a price breakdown may be strengthened by crossing of oscillator resistance mark of 57%.


水平RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
1.57041.57961.59381.54521.53381.5176



2015年7月31日 @ 下午6:07

GBP/USD

Let us consider a technical situation on british pound. Last daily correction has broken the bearish trend line and has started the new bullish momentum. A breakdown resulted into a new support level above the former trendline. Donchian Channel confirms a bullish bias of a trend channel. New trend line is strengthened by historical values of ParabolicSAR as well. It should be noted that MACD indicator has formed a new maximum above the resistance – the significant signal of trend possible acceleration. In such a way all represented instruments verify the basic direction of price movement. We should note that the support level 1.45525 may be taken into account while planning a risk management scheme.
水平RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
1.60261.59451.58371.55031.50851.4859



2015年5月20日 @ 下午5:55

GBP/USD

Hello dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the sterling against the greenback forex couple. As we can see at the daily chart the currency pair is down trending and has found supported at earlier trading session at 1.6065 which is a new 9-month low. Prices rebounded in the previous to resistance at 1.6277 amid oversold indicators and investors were covering short positions. Downside bias has revived in the yesterday trading ahead of the Scotland vote for independency. Falling trend line suggests that bearish potential remains strong coupled by the 10, 20 and 50 Simple Moving Averages being well above prices. However, the currency pair fell sharply and substantially which concern us for its sustainability. The question here is, will this well extended bearish wave continue or a bounce up? One answer that all investors expect is that in case Scottish vote Yes the British pound would weaken further if the outcome is No then sterling would recover.


At the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the last trading sessions the volume for the British pound was gradually decreasing as the prices were rising. That is actually indicating that bulls were losing their power as prices were retracing and eventually bears returned stronger. Also, as we approach the referendum day on Thursday, investors prefer to hold a wait and see stance. More polls would be published on Wednesday as well so we expect volume to increase from Wednesday. Lastly, we see on the price char that a “hanging man” candle formation was created below cap at 1.6277 before downside revival turning focus to support at 1.6065.

GBPUSD

Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic rose to overbought zone quickly, the OsMA has almost reset to zero line suggesting that the risk is turning to lower levels. However, the RSI (14) remains at 30 line suggesting that the currency pair is overextended to the short side in the longer term. In our opinion, the GBPUSD has obviously touched at extreme low at 1.6065 and bounced up providing a chance to reposition on the short side, it is likely that would revisits support at 1.6065. Nevertheless we have to be cautious due to Scottish vote that could trigger any directions, it is hard to make a call at the moment, therefore we would take intraday positions only with tight stop loss.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

水平RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
1.66431.65351.62771.60651.58661.5732



2014年9月16日 @ 上午10:15

GBP/USD

Hello dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the sterling against the greenback forex couple. As we can see at the daily chart the currency pair breached the support at 1.6533 and fell to a new 7-month low at 1.6444. Downside bias was strong in the price chart and that is indicated by the falling trend line. Moreover, the 10, 20 and 50 Simple Moving Averages are well above prices and are declining strongly. However, the currency pair fell sharply and substantially which concern us for its sustainability. The question here is, will this well extended bearish wave continue or a bounce up is imminent ahead of Bank of England monetary decision?


At the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the last trading sessions the volume for the British pound increased substantially. That is actually validating the bearish move of the last trading sessions and strengthens the scenario of the continuation of the bearish wave.

GBPUSD

Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic dropped into the oversold territory, the OsMA is at its neutral line suggesting that there is room for lower levels and the RSI (14) is below 30 line suggesting that the currency pair is overextended to the negative side. In our opinion, the GBPUSD has obviously touched at extreme low at 1.6444 and is likely to retrace in the following trading sessions. We are favoring development of corrective move towards resistance at 1.6533, followed by next cap at 1.6611.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

水平RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
1.66791.66111.65331.64441.63931.6300



2014年9月4日 @ 上午10:58

GBP/USD

Hello dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the sterling against the greenback forex couple. As we can see at the daily chart the currency pair breached the support at 1.6655 and fell to a new 5-month low at 1.6638. Downside bias was strong in the price chart and that is indicated by the falling trend line. Moreover, the 20 and 50 Simple Moving Averages are well above prices and are declining strongly. However, the currency pair fell sharply therefore it did not create a reversal formation and that concern us. In addition, the today candlestick opened lower creating a trading gap but due to the stronger bullish bias prices quickly recovered as traders were covering short positions. The question here is, will this well extended bearish wave continue or refresh?


At the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the last trading sessions the volume for the British pound has been decreasing. That has been mainly due to bears getting weaker as well as amid uncertainty over the Jackson Hole Symposium. We are expecting the tomorrow release of the CME volume to validate the bullish reaction.

GBPUSD

Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is well into the overbought territory, the OsMA has slightly retreated from previous bottoms level and the RSI (14) is below 30 line suggesting that the currency pair is overextended to the negative side. In our opinion, the GBPUSD has obviously touched at extreme low at 1.6538 and then quickly retraced with prices lastly seen at 1.6593. We are favoring development of corrective move towards resistance at 1.6663 in the following trading sessions.

GBPUSD

However, as we see at the chart above, in the hourly time frame, prices the retracement was very quick and drove hourly oscillators to overbought levels, therefore in lower time frames we should be cautious for consolidation trading.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

水平RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
1.67371.66931.66631.65381.64621.6300



2014年8月25日 @ 下午1:09

GBP/USD

Hello dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the sterling against the greenback forex couple. As we can see at the daily chart the currency pair breached the support at 1.6692 and fell to a new 2 ½ -month low at 1.6665. Downside bias prevails in the price chart and that is indicated by the falling trend line. Moreover, the 20 and 50 Simple Moving Averages have created a “death-cross” pattern and continue their declining path. However, there is not a reversal pattern formation and that concern us. The question here is, will this well extended bearish wave continue?


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic has just entered the oversold territory and the OsMA is hovering slightly above the previous bottoms border suggesting the price move is overextended. The RSI (14) is down trending but has also dropped below line at 30, which indicates overextension. We should not exclude the possibility of oscillators moving even lower but that does not mean we ignore the contrarian signals. In our opinion, the GBPUSD is obviously biased for further lows, however the overextended oscillators indicate that falling path would sooner or later pause. We would favor for the immediate trading the downward continuation towards next support at 1.6557. Today we would watch carefully the US Jobless Claims expected to stand at 307K and tomorrow we are cautious for the UK Second Estimate GDP for the second quarter of 2014. The first GDP estimate was at 0.8%, higher than that would support the sterling.


水平RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
1.68141.67561.66921.66651.65571.6462



2014年8月14日 @ 上午9:56

 

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