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USD/CHF Технический анализ rss Технический анализ

Волатильность

Макс./Мин. значения цен закрытия определены за последние 20 торговых дней; Ст.Откл. - приведенное к годовому выражению стандартное отклонение дневных приростов


Максимум Минимум Неделя % Мес. % YTD % Станд. откл.
EUR/USD 1.3429 1.3188 -0.98% -1.65% 1.66% 3.73%
GBP/USD 1.6913 1.6569 -0.26% -2.19% 6.66% 4.26%
USD/JPY 104.03 102.04 1.01% 1.78% 35.01% 4.45%
USD/CHF 0.9158 0.9023 0.74% 0.98% -2.30% 4.18%
AUD/USD 0.9353 0.9261 0.25% -0.64% -9.06% 5.47%
USD/CAD 1.0982 1.0885 0.16% 0.99% 7.76% 4.62%


Корреляция

Коэффициенты корреляции определены для дневных приростов последних 20 торговых дней


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.82 -0.88 -0.92 0.04 -0.64
GBP/USD 0.82 1 -0.73 -0.58 0.07 -0.46
USD/JPY -0.88 -0.73 1 0.88 0.09 0.55
USD/CHF -0.92 -0.58 0.88 1 -0.03 0.66
AUD/USD 0.04 0.07 0.09 -0.03 1 -0.37
USD/CAD -0.64 -0.46 0.55 0.66 -0.37 1




Анализ инструментов



USD/CHF

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices jumped substantially in the last candle and drew resistance line at 0.9333, advancing from support at 0.9173. The valid rising trend line suggests that the upward development is more likely to continue and that suggests that the cap at 0.9333 would eventually be breached. Moreover, the Simple Moving Averages are below prices adding to the upside pressure. However, the cap at 0.9333 represents the 261.8% extension of the corrective move from 0.9037 to 0.8854 suggesting that we may be at the end of a bullish impulsive wave, therefore a corrective move may follow.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the 4th of September the volume increased validating the upside move to cap at 0.9333. Therefore, we are confirming with volume that the bulls prevail in the USDCHF trading.

USDCHF

Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is overbought since it’s above the 85% line. The OsMA approached previous peaks line and moves upward. The RSI (14) went above the 70 line indicating that is in the overbought zone as well. In our opinion and based on this analysis the currency pair in the longer term is more likely to continue its upside path however in the shorter term due to the overbought oscillators we would expect a corrective move. In addition, the bullish traders have been stronger and they are making profits in the last two weeks thus sooner or later they will start collecting these profit which would induce the pair in a corrective move. Lastly, investors’ focus turns to Non-Farm Payrolls release in today’s trading where a lower than expected number could trigger a corrective move.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.95650.94540.93330.91730.91130.9037



5 сентября 2014 г. @ 9:41

USD/CHF

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices found resistance at 0.9173, advancing from support at 0.9023. The valid rising trend line suggests that the upward development is more likely to continue and that increases chances that the cap at 0.9173 would be breached. Moreover, the Simple Moving Averages are below prices adding to the upside pressure. However, the cap at 0.9173 represents the 161.8% extension of the corrective move from 0.9114 to 0.9021 strengthening the cap besides the last candlestick formed a “hanging man” increasing the strength of the resistance level there.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the 22nd of August the volume increased but on the 25th of August declined considerably indicating that bulls lost their power there. We would still expect confirmation of the “hanging man” formation and that would come with a black candle and large volume.

USDCHF

Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is overbought since it’s above the 80% line. The OsMA moves upward and the RSI (14) approached its 70 line. Furthermore, the RSI (14) formed a bearish divergence signal because it failed to make new high like the price pattern did. In our opinion and based on this analysis the currency pair is more likely to correct in the following trading sessions towards support at 0.9113. Prices could go even lower, towards the rising trend line.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.93500.92500.91730.91130.90210.8959



26 августа 2014 г. @ 10:34

USD/CHF

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices found a support at 0.9020, declining from resistance at 0.9114. The valid rising trend line suggests that the upward development is more likely to continue and strengthens the support area around 0.9023 and 0.9009. Moreover, the corrective move from cap at 0.9114 to support at 0.9023 represents a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the rising wave from 0.8854 to 0.9114 and that suggests the downside may reverse around 0.9023. However, the Simple Moving Averages are above prices adding to the downside pressure for the time being.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is declining below its signal line but its close to oversold territory. The OsMA also moves downward and the RSI (14) is down trending. The USDCHF made a corrective move in the last two weeks at a strong support which could limit short term downside but oscillators favor deeper correction. In our opinion, the currency pair is likely to reverse in the following trading sessions and revisit previous peak at 0.9114, however we would be cautious since oscillators do not fully agree with that scenario. Tight risk risk /reward ratio is the answer for the traders who are favoring the long side.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.92460.91620.91140.90230.88540.8743



18 августа 2014 г. @ 11:11

USD/CHF

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices found a resistance at 0.9109 after climbing in the previous month. The valid rising trend line suggests that the upward development is more likely to continue. In the longer term the currency pair seems to have created a double bottom reversal formation and that also suggests that rising structure is well established. Moreover, currently the SMAs are below prices adding to the upside expectations. However, in previous sessions a daily candlestick formed a “spinning top” followed by a bearish engulfing candle and that triggers some skepticism over the upside continuation.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is declining below its signal line which increases chances for the downside. The OsMA also moves downward while RSI (14) is up trending but is close to its overbought zone. In our opinion, the USDCHF made a short retracement and oscillators did not have the chance to reset yet, up trend could be so strong that would continue its way with this short correction. Therefore we would consider chances are favoring the upside revival and likely for the FX couple to rise above cap at 0.9109 and look towards next resistance at 0.9152.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.92630.91520.91090.90230.89560.8900



5 августа 2014 г. @ 10:05

USD/CHF

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices found a resistance today at 0.9037 after climbing in the previous trading sessions. The tentative rising trend line suggests that the upward development is more likely. In the longer term the currency pair seems to have created a bearish reversal formation and that also suggests rising structure is on the way. Moreover, currently the SMAs are below prices and the upper Bollinger band was breached to the upside two days ago. However, the previous candlestick was a doji created below the resistance level at 0.9037 and that triggers some skepticism over the upside continuation.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is overbought which increases skepticism for the upside but the OsMA still has some room until previous peaks line and the RSI (14) is up trending. In our opinion, we would expect the USDCHF to retrace in the intraday but in the longer term we would expect the prices to refresh upside and likely to continue above the cap at 0.9037.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.91520.90800.90370.89560.89000.8854



24 июля 2014 г. @ 10:49

USD/CHF

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices recently found a resistance at 0.8952 and then continued in consolidation mode. In longer term the currency pair seems to have created a bearish reversal formation and that suggests rising structure is on the way. However, prices could just be in range trading pattern between 0.9011/0.8854.8. Moreover, currently the SMAs are mixed which indicates the neutrality of the current status. For that reasons we consider the range pattern prevails.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is declining as of typing from the overbought territory. The RSI (14) is in a downtrend confirming Stochastic, however the OsMA just rose above the zero line suggesting that upside is stronger. In our opinion, since we are in a range trading and two of the three oscillators are bearish chances favor falling lower and likely as low as support at 0.8854.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.90800.90110.89520.88540.87430.8703



9 июля 2014 г. @ 11:00

 

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