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Технический анализ rss Технический анализ

Волатильность

Макс./Мин. значения цен закрытия определены за последние 20 торговых дней; Ст.Откл. - приведенное к годовому выражению стандартное отклонение дневных приростов


Максимум Минимум Неделя % Мес. % YTD % Станд. откл.
EUR/USD 1.3429 1.3188 -0.98% -1.65% 1.66% 3.73%
GBP/USD 1.6913 1.6569 -0.26% -2.19% 6.66% 4.26%
USD/JPY 104.03 102.04 1.01% 1.78% 35.01% 4.45%
USD/CHF 0.9158 0.9023 0.74% 0.98% -2.30% 4.18%
AUD/USD 0.9353 0.9261 0.25% -0.64% -9.06% 5.47%
USD/CAD 1.0982 1.0885 0.16% 0.99% 7.76% 4.62%


Корреляция

Коэффициенты корреляции определены для дневных приростов последних 20 торговых дней


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.82 -0.88 -0.92 0.04 -0.64
GBP/USD 0.82 1 -0.73 -0.58 0.07 -0.46
USD/JPY -0.88 -0.73 1 0.88 0.09 0.55
USD/CHF -0.92 -0.58 0.88 1 -0.03 0.66
AUD/USD 0.04 0.07 0.09 -0.03 1 -0.37
USD/CAD -0.64 -0.46 0.55 0.66 -0.37 1




Анализ инструментов



GBP/USD

On Monday (10:30 CET and 16:30 CET) two macroeconomic indicators are going to be released: Manufacturing Indexes in Great Britain and US correspondingly. These diffusion indexes are based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. They tend to represent a long-term data on business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. We suppose that a consequent release of monthly indexes may provoke a long term volatility of GBP/USD currency pair. For now futures and options trading volumes approach resistance of 80,000 claims. Conservative traders may wait for the breakdown of this mark while looking for a new entrance point.


Price has approached triple top at 1.57036 mark - an upper side of a triangular zone. Its movement continuation is probably defined by bullish sentiments in frame of a rising trend. We may look for this breakdown while opening long positions. It should be remarked that a trend line is verified by ParabolicSAR and Donchian Channel lower boundary. So we may use the current fractal support for the risk limitation. RSI-Bars oscillator confirmes tha global upward tendency. However a price breakdown may be strengthened by crossing of oscillator resistance mark of 57%.


УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.57041.57961.59381.54521.53381.5176



31 июля 2015 г. @ 18:07

GBP/USD

Let us consider a technical situation on british pound. Last daily correction has broken the bearish trend line and has started the new bullish momentum. A breakdown resulted into a new support level above the former trendline. Donchian Channel confirms a bullish bias of a trend channel. New trend line is strengthened by historical values of ParabolicSAR as well. It should be noted that MACD indicator has formed a new maximum above the resistance – the significant signal of trend possible acceleration. In such a way all represented instruments verify the basic direction of price movement. We should note that the support level 1.45525 may be taken into account while planning a risk management scheme.
УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.60261.59451.58371.55031.50851.4859



20 мая 2015 г. @ 17:55

USD/JPY

Let’s consider the daily chart of USD/JPY currency pair. The triangle breakdown led to the birth of a new bullish tendency, which is confirmed by trend indicator ParabolicSAR and decline of Donchian Channel. It should be remarked that an upward tendency has been formed by RSI-Bars signal. We expect a continuation of trend after the break down of RSI resistance line. Most probably it will be triggered by a corresponding price resistance intersection at 122.041. This level is confirmed by Bill Williams’s fractal and the upper boundary of Donchian Channel. Besides this mark has been once tested by the upper top of triangle. That’s why the resistance intersection may trigger a new highly volatile upward motion.
УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение121.97120.37119.89120.63118.63118.29



20 марта 2015 г. @ 13:39

EUR/USD

Let’s consider the daily chart of USD/JPY currency pair. The triangle breakdown led to the birth of a new bullish tendency, which is confirmed by trend indicator ParabolicSAR and decline of Donchian Channel. It should be remarked that an upward tendency has been formed by RSI-Bars signal. We expect a continuation of trend after the break down of RSI resistance line. Most probably it will be triggered by a corresponding price resistance intersection at 122.041. This level is confirmed by Bill Williams’s fractal and the upper boundary of Donchian Channel. Besides this mark has been once tested by the upper top of triangle. That’s why the resistance intersection may trigger a new highly volatile upward motion.
УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение121.9670120.3720119.8890120.6310118.6280118.2940



20 марта 2015 г. @ 11:50

USD/JPY

Let’s consider a daily chart of the USD/JPY trading instrument. A triangular chart model is already formed with a bearish decline. A price updated local minimums of a Donchian channel. The RSI-Bars oscillator signal verifies a basic decline as well, however we recommend conservative traders to look for a support breakdown (35.1257%). Probably this will happen simultaneously with a breakdown of a triangular downside. At the same time a reverse of the Parabolic trend indicator is expected. Finally we’ll take a confirmation from all available analytical tools. Preliminary risk limitation may be connected with a triangular height, the same for profit taking.

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение120.84120.01118.94117.15115.86115.41



3 февраля 2015 г. @ 18:26

USD/JPY

Good day, dear traders. Today we shall consider USDJPY pair at daily chart. The correction of price movement inside D1 bearish trend channel has been completed and a new momentum is forming. H4 decreasing tendency is confirmed by Donchian Channel indicator and RSI signal. However we may observe a temporary weakening of momentum – a fractal support 105.100 is strengthened by historical values of Parabolic. A reverse of indicator will happen if a price breaks this level and moves into the red zone. In this case a final confirmation of trend continuation will be received. A risk control may be implemented according to the significant levels of chart analysis with an account of Parabolic signal.

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение108.45108.45108.45105.10105.10105.10



30 октября 2014 г. @ 13:26

 

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