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Технический анализ rss Технический анализ

Волатильность

Макс./Мин. значения цен закрытия определены за последние 20 торговых дней; Ст.Откл. - приведенное к годовому выражению стандартное отклонение дневных приростов


Максимум Минимум Неделя % Мес. % YTD % Станд. откл.
EUR/USD 1.3684 1.3488 1.12% 1.50% 5.40% 5.20%
GBP/USD 1.6221 1.5948 0.83% 0.80% 3.81% 7.85%
USD/JPY 98.97 96.86 0.15% -0.41% 27.71% 7.87%
USD/CHF 0.9132 0.8989 -1.08% -1.07% -3.70% 7.12%
AUD/USD 0.9675 0.9312 1.40% 2.83% -5.78% 5.64%
USD/CAD 1.0396 1.0285 -0.82% -0.06% 1.24% 4.09%


Корреляция

Коэффициенты корреляции определены для дневных приростов последних 20 торговых дней


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.80 -0.59 -0.93 0.06 -0.24
GBP/USD 0.80 1 -0.68 -0.86 0.00 0.03
USD/JPY -0.59 -0.68 1 0.66 -0.05 -0.19
USD/CHF -0.93 -0.86 0.66 1 -0.06 0.07
AUD/USD 0.06 0.00 -0.05 0.06 1 -0.27
USD/CAD -0.24 0.03 -0.19 0.07 -0.27 1




Анализ инструментов



AUD/USD

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to analyze the Aussie against the US dollar chart. The currency pair trades above the tentative up trend line and has recently found resistance at 0.9456. The rising trend line indicates the bullish bias and suggests that prices will continue to the upside. However, we see that the resistance around 0.9456 maintains well its ground and has limited upside attempts since April. Checking the shorter term the currency pair is in a trading range between 0.9456/0.9326 and that is also indicated by the Bollinger bands that have surrounded the prices. We also see a fake break out of the resistance at 0.9456 which adds to the suspicion that this cap level is major.


Looking at the oscillators, MACD is at its base line holding a neutral stance, the OsMA is also mixed and near its zero line. The Stochastic is falling which suggests bearish attitude. The recent range trading pattern has mixed the indicators but given that that the prices were limited by the upper range barrier and decline at the moment the Stochastic is favoring downward move to 0.9326. However, in our opinion, the upside is still there and could be triggered at any point also we would expect the rising trend line to hold any attempt to dip lower.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.95980.95020.94560.93260.92630.9207



29 июля 2014 г. @ 9:02

USD/JPY

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to talk about the US dollar against the Japanese Yen trading pattern. As you can see at the chart the currency pair remains in a potential descending triangle which according to theory is a bearish trading pattern. However, we favor more the range trading pattern between 102.93/100.77. One could take advantage of the range trading and make profitable moves. However, should the currency pair breach the falling trend line at 102.80 to the upside then rising bias will strengthen. Downward break out of the support at 100.77 would confirm the descending triangle and bears will prevail. We will be watching this currency couple closely because of the US news expected for this week, like the FOMC Statement and employment report.


The Oscillators are mostly in neutral status since the prices are in a trading range. The Stochastic though has entered the overbought zone and that increases chances for prices to return to lower levels. In our view, we consider that for the longer term we should watch for potential breakthrough of the upper or the lower barriers of the range. In the mean time we could take some profit by trading the range, stochastic is overbought thus prices could move towards support at 101.09.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение102.80102.25101.93101.09100.7799.01



28 июля 2014 г. @ 10:59

GBP/USD

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to analyze the sterling against the greenback forex pair. As we can see at the daily chart the currency pair retraced back to the rising trend line at 1.6951. At the same level there is the 50.0% of the 1.6686 to 1.7179 and the 50 SMA, that suggest a strong support around there. Therefore based on the price chart pattern we would expect the prices not to drop below 1.6951 in the immediate term.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic entered the oversold territory and the OsMA touching the previous troughs border. The RSI (14) is down trending and still has room for lower levels. Therefore, oscillators overall are at extreme negative levels which suggests contrarian attitude. In our opinion, the GBPUSD is very likely to be limited by the support at 1.6951 in the medium term. The latter will depend on macroeconomic releases as well, like the GDP reported as of typing. Lastly, prices could rebound because of the oversold indicators and the strong support.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.73201.71791.70581.68431.67371.6686



25 июля 2014 г. @ 10:33

USD/CHF

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Swiss franc trading pattern. As we can see at the chart, prices found a resistance today at 0.9037 after climbing in the previous trading sessions. The tentative rising trend line suggests that the upward development is more likely. In the longer term the currency pair seems to have created a bearish reversal formation and that also suggests rising structure is on the way. Moreover, currently the SMAs are below prices and the upper Bollinger band was breached to the upside two days ago. However, the previous candlestick was a doji created below the resistance level at 0.9037 and that triggers some skepticism over the upside continuation.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is overbought which increases skepticism for the upside but the OsMA still has some room until previous peaks line and the RSI (14) is up trending. In our opinion, we would expect the USDCHF to retrace in the intraday but in the longer term we would expect the prices to refresh upside and likely to continue above the cap at 0.9037.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.91520.90800.90370.89560.89000.8854



24 июля 2014 г. @ 10:49

USD/CAD

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. The currency couple found resistance at the 50.0% of 1.0960 to 1.0630, at 1.0791 and that coincides with the falling trend line. Both indicate that the down trend is well respected and that suggests that downside would revive. Prices rose above the 20 and 10 Simple Moving Average but the 50 SMA was not breached. Moreover the declining structure is indicated by the falling trend line which further adds pressure to the USDCAD.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is declining and that suggests bears are getting stronger. At the same time though the MACD is rising towards its zero line but still remains in negative territory. The OsMA is gradually falling and that agrees with the overall bearish expectation. In our opinion and based on that analysis, we consider the short side the most likely profitable scenario. We would prefer to wait until we see a violation of the support at 1.0714 which could revive the downtrend. Next support is seen at 1.0630 and below that the pair would be trading at new 7-month lows. Please have in mind that today we expect Canadian Retail Sales report which increases the trading volatility.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.10611.08571.07911.07141.06301.0528



23 июля 2014 г. @ 10:33

AUD/USD

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to analyze the Aussie against the US dollar chart. The currency pair trades above the tentative up trend line and has recently draw a support line at 0.9326. The rising trend line indicates the bullish bias and suggests that prices will continue to the upside. However, we see that the resistance around 0.9447 maintains well its ground and has limited upside attempts since April. Checking the shorter term the currency pair is in a trading range between 0.9447/0.9326 and that is also indicated by the Bollinger bands who have narrowed around the prices. We also see a fake break out of the resistance at 0.9447 which adds to the suspicion that this cap level is major.


Looking at the oscillators, MACD is at its base line holding a neutral stance, the OsMA is rising towards the zero line and the Stochastic is rising. The Stochastic and the OsMA are more bullish than the MACD. The recent range trading pattern has mixed the indicators but the upside is still there and could be triggered at any point. In our opinion chances are favoring the upside should the resistance at 0.9447 is breached. However, we would be cautious because it’s a strong level and we would prefer to see a close above that level before we follow. More aggressive trading style suggests establishing long positions above 0.94, stop loss below rising trend line and first target the recent peak at 0.95.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.95000.94470.94000.93260.92630.9207



22 июля 2014 г. @ 10:17

 

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