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Технический анализ rss Технический анализ

Волатильность

Макс./Мин. значения цен закрытия определены за последние 20 торговых дней; Ст.Откл. - приведенное к годовому выражению стандартное отклонение дневных приростов


Максимум Минимум Неделя % Мес. % YTD % Станд. откл.
EUR/USD 1.3684 1.3488 1.12% 1.50% 5.40% 5.20%
GBP/USD 1.6221 1.5948 0.83% 0.80% 3.81% 7.85%
USD/JPY 98.97 96.86 0.15% -0.41% 27.71% 7.87%
USD/CHF 0.9132 0.8989 -1.08% -1.07% -3.70% 7.12%
AUD/USD 0.9675 0.9312 1.40% 2.83% -5.78% 5.64%
USD/CAD 1.0396 1.0285 -0.82% -0.06% 1.24% 4.09%


Корреляция

Коэффициенты корреляции определены для дневных приростов последних 20 торговых дней


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.80 -0.59 -0.93 0.06 -0.24
GBP/USD 0.80 1 -0.68 -0.86 0.00 0.03
USD/JPY -0.59 -0.68 1 0.66 -0.05 -0.19
USD/CHF -0.93 -0.86 0.66 1 -0.06 0.07
AUD/USD 0.06 0.00 -0.05 0.06 1 -0.27
USD/CAD -0.24 0.03 -0.19 0.07 -0.27 1




Анализ инструментов



USD/CAD

Hello traders!!! Today is Good Friday and we do not exepct normal volatility in forex trading. However we are analyzing daily time frame which is longer term than just for intraday tradin and can be applied for next week as well. As we can see at the US dollar against the Canadian, prices rose to 1.1032 creating a resistance line where the 20 SMA trades and it is now extending in sideways.


Moreover, looking at the technical indicators the Stochastic is at the overbought territory while MACD is bearish. Therefore we could conclude that recent bounce from 1.0860 to 1.1032 was just a corrective move and prices are likely to come back to downside barrier at 1.0860 and perhaps could breach that exposing next support at 1.0748.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.12761.11581.10321.08601.07481.0569



18 апреля 2014 г. @ 9:58

USD/CHF

Today as part of our technical analysis we are going to look at the US dollar against the Swiss franc price pattern. As we can see upside momentum of the prices was limited by 50.0% Fibonacci of 0.9152 to 0.8701 at 0.8933 and then dropped near previous low at 0.8701. Moving averages are currently above the quotes and that adds to bearish expectations. In addition, weekly downtrend coincides with the latest lower high at 0.8933.


Concerning technical indicators we can observe that the Stochastic has recently retraced from oversold zone and is fluctuating now in neutral zone but given that the %K is above the %D, it provides a bullish tone. MACD on the other hand is bearish because it is below zero as well as below its signal line. In our view bearish bias at the moment is stronger than bullish. However the support at 0.8703 which has been the lowest level for the last two and half years it is very likely that would hold its ground.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.90810.89330.88340.87030.85450.8292



16 апреля 2014 г. @ 10:32

USD/JPY

The US dollar against the Japanese Yen is trading between resistance at 104.12 and strong support at 101.15. Thus, trading range prevails with direction not being clear inducing moving averages being useless this time. As we can see the weekly up trend line was breached by sideway prices while a downward trend line is established. Based on trading pattern chances are more for prices to move toward their upper bound since they were recently limited by lower boundary.


Looking at the oscillators, we receive some bearish contrarian indications. The Stochastic declined to the oversold zone and is currently recovering suggesting that prices will recover as well. At the same time the Oscillator Moving Average fell to previous troughs line suggesting that lower ground is less likely. Therefore rebound to higher ground is more likely as well according to oscillators. In our view chances favor that the USDJPY will move toward resistance at 102.85 ahead of the top of the trading range at 104.12.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение105.47104.12102.85101.1598.9896.54



15 апреля 2014 г. @ 9:59

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar against the greenback extended its rising structure as high as 0.9460. Prices have breached above the weekly downtrend line as well as it rose higher than the 61.8% fibo retracement of 0.9758 to 0.8659, at 0.9344 suggesting that it was not just corrective move. Moreover, there is new uptrend line established coupled by all moving averages supporting rising path, concluding that a V formation is becoming more likely.


Looking at the oscillators, MACD remains bullish since it is above zero and higher than its exponential moving average. Stochastic though is overbought and that is confirmed by Momentum (7) who is overextended to the positive side. Therefore, we are bullish on the AUDUSD and we expect it to achieve 0.9546 in the coming trading however we will utilize a low risk/reward ratio due to contrarian indications.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение0.97580.95460.94600.92030.91420.8995



11 апреля 2014 г. @ 9:48

EUR/USD

Last night the Euro against the US dollar jumped to cap at 1.3871 due to upside sentiment continuation. Prices have crossed above the 20 and 10 Moving Averages increasing chances for rising higher. In addition, rising trend line indicates that the price pattern is positively structured.


Looking at the Oscillators, the short-term Momentum is also rising reflecting recent bullish bias. MACD has just crossed the zero line and is now in positive territory heading higher and that supports the upside potential. Lastly, Stochastic is in the overbought zone suggesting that climbing momentum may be limited. We see that there are two bullish oscillators and one bearish, therefore based on our analysis chances favor further steps to higher ground towards peak at 1.3964. However some caution is recommended due to contrarian stochastic indication.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.41481.39641.38711.36681.34781.3291



10 апреля 2014 г. @ 10:11

GBP/USD

Rising momentum resumed in the British pound against the US dollar price pattern with prices penetrating resistance at 1.6682. Moreover, quotes were maintained by support at 61.8% of the bullish wave from 1.6240 to 1.6820, at 1.6465 and that is strengthening uptrend existence. Bullish structure prevails in the daily timeframe as it is indicated by the rising trend line. After yesterday upside boost ended, the GBPUSD prices were consolidating around 1.6750 most probably due to profit taking and/or extreme up technical indicators.


More specifically, the Stochastic calculated using last 5 periods (20 hours information) peaked at 95 line which is one of the highest points. The latter suggests given the strong uprise that chances favor consolidation below next resistance at 1.6768. The OsMA agrees with the Stochastic but both of these indicators are now falling reflecting the intraday sideways. In our view, the currency pair is likely to retrace a bit lower due to overbought signals and strong upside barriers. However the daily uptrend remains strong and for that reason in the medium term the cap at 1.6820 would be retested ahead of 1.6905.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

УровниRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Значение1.69051.68201.67681.66821.66171.6510



9 апреля 2014 г. @ 15:02

 

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