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EUR/USD テクニカル分析 rss テクニカル分析

変動性

ハイ・ロー価格は最後20日間にとって計算されます。統計偏差は年間の統計偏差です。


ハイ ロー 週 % 月 % YTD % 統計偏差
EUR/USD 1.3429 1.3188 -0.98% -1.65% 1.66% 3.73%
GBP/USD 1.6913 1.6569 -0.26% -2.19% 6.66% 4.26%
USD/JPY 104.03 102.04 1.01% 1.78% 35.01% 4.45%
USD/CHF 0.9158 0.9023 0.74% 0.98% -2.30% 4.18%
AUD/USD 0.9353 0.9261 0.25% -0.64% -9.06% 5.47%
USD/CAD 1.0982 1.0885 0.16% 0.99% 7.76% 4.62%


相関

統計相関係数は最後20日間にとって計算されます。


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.82 -0.88 -0.92 0.04 -0.64
GBP/USD 0.82 1 -0.73 -0.58 0.07 -0.46
USD/JPY -0.88 -0.73 1 0.88 0.09 0.55
USD/CHF -0.92 -0.58 0.88 1 -0.03 0.66
AUD/USD 0.04 0.07 0.09 -0.03 1 -0.37
USD/CAD -0.64 -0.46 0.55 0.66 -0.37 1




詳しい分析



EUR/USD

Let’s consider the daily chart of USD/JPY currency pair. The triangle breakdown led to the birth of a new bullish tendency, which is confirmed by trend indicator ParabolicSAR and decline of Donchian Channel. It should be remarked that an upward tendency has been formed by RSI-Bars signal. We expect a continuation of trend after the break down of RSI resistance line. Most probably it will be triggered by a corresponding price resistance intersection at 122.041. This level is confirmed by Bill Williams’s fractal and the upper boundary of Donchian Channel. Besides this mark has been once tested by the upper top of triangle. That’s why the resistance intersection may trigger a new highly volatile upward motion.
抵抗線/支持線RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
水準121.9670120.3720119.8890120.6310118.6280118.2940



2015年3月20日 @ 11:50

EUR/USD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the Euro against the US dollar forex pair. As we can see at the price chart the currency pair is in a down trend as indicated by the declining trend line. Moreover, the Simple Moving averages are above the prices adding to the selling pressure. In the recent term, the currency pair declined to fresh 14-month low at 1.2835. The lower Bollinger band was breached indicating that the downside bias was strong while in the last trading session prices have been in consolidation. Nevertheless, the prices are near a long term low at a 2-year bottom at 1.2770 and the downward wave started from 1.3978 and extended to 1.2835 that creates concerns that is overextended. Fundamentals on the other hand are strongly bearish to the Euro.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that since September the 10th the volume has been diminishing while the EURUSD prices dropped to the 1.2835. The volume of trading provides a warning in this case that the bears are weakening and we might be near a potential reversal point.

EURUSD

Looking at the oscillators, we observe a very interesting thing which adds to the warning of the volume. The Stochastic is in neutral zone and normally would not be informative at all, however we said that prices dropped to fresh low but Stochastic did not follow. The same is observed with the longer term indicator, the RSI (14), creating a bullish divergence. At the same time the OsMA is above zero and gradually advancing. Based on this analysis, our opinion is favoring an upside scenario. The EURUSD could reverse at this point and start a correction in the following week. Prices could test initially resistance at 1.2974 ahead of the 38.2% of 1.3413 to 1.2835, at 1.3057.


Questions and suggestions:[email protected]

抵抗線/支持線RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
水準1.31971.30571.29741.28351.27721.2667



2014年9月19日 @ 10:24

EUR/USD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the Euro against the US dollar forex pair. As we can see at the price chart the currency pair is in a down trend as indicated by the declining trend line. Moreover, the Simple Moving averages are above the prices adding to the selling pressure. In the recent term, the currency pair stopped at the support level at 1.2921 which is a fresh 14-month low. The lower Bollinger band was breached indicating that the downside bias was strong while in the last two trading sessions prices have been in consolidation. Nevertheless, bearish sentiment remains high in the currency pair according to the price chart pattern.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the September the 5th when ECB decreased key rates, announced bond-buying program and the EURUSD prices dropped to the 1.2921 the volume of trading increased substantially validating the downward move. That suggests bears are getting stronger on fundamental developments which would limit any technical retracement.

EURUSD

Looking at the oscillators, Stochastic is oversold for considerable time, the OsMA touched in earlier sessions on previous bottoms line and the RSI (14) is well below 30 line and down trending. All that suggest the EURUSD is oversold. In our opinion, the price structure favors further decline however we are concerned about the extreme low technical indicators. At the same time there is not strong support to hold negative bias and only the Stochastic is providing a bullish divergence. Moreover, volume from CME confirms that bulls are becoming stronger. Therefore, we would expect prices to continue lower but some consolidation above 1.2921 may be seen ahead of bearish revive.


Questions and suggestions:[email protected]

抵抗線/支持線RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
水準1.33271.31651.31071.29211.27721.2667



2014年9月8日 @ 11:24

EUR/USD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the Euro against the US dollar forex pair. As we can see at the price chart the currency pair is in a down trend as indicated by the declining trend line. Moreover, the Simple Moving averages are above the prices adding to the selling pressure. In the recent term, the currency pair stopped at the support level at 1.3152 which is a fresh 11-month low and at the moment is making an effort to correct from that bottom. The lower Bollinger band was breached but then prices quickly retraced, bearish sentiment remains high in the currency pair according to the price chart pattern. However, bottom at 1.3152 appears to be strong due to previous decline ending there and also due to Fibonacci extensions projecting end of the negative wave at round 1.3152.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the last trading sessions the volume of trading is increasing. More specifically on the 25th and 26th of August when prices moved to fresh 11-month lows volume was lower than on the 27th when the currency pair reacted positively. That suggests bulls are start to accumulate power and the corrective move could get deeper.

EURUSD

Looking at the oscillators, Stochastic is oversold for considerable time, the OsMA touched in earlier sessions on previous bottoms line and the RSI (14) is below 30 line. All that suggest, the EURUSD is oversold. In our opinion, the price structure even though is clearly negative, chances favor a corrective reaction due to strong support and oversold indicators. Moreover, volume from CME confirms that bulls are becoming stronger. Therefore, we would expect a bounce up towards resistance at 1.3330 which it was a previous support and around the 61.8% of the fall from 1.3413 to 1.3152. In the alternative scenario, prices could breach lower level at 1.3152 and dip toward next handle at 1.3102.


抵抗線/支持線RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
水準1.35071.34131.33301.31521.31021.2987



2014年8月28日 @ 10:36

EUR/USD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the Euro against the US dollar forex pair. As we can see at the price chart the currency pair is in a down trend as indicated by the declining trend line. Moreover, the Simple Moving averages are above the prices adding to the selling pressure. In the recent term, the currency pair stopped at the support level at 1.3333 which is a 10-month low and extended in sideways trading between top limitation at1.3413 and lower boundary at 1.3333. Currently forex couple is approaching the lower level while the Bollinger bands are narrowing around prices that suggest we may see a break out soon. Based on the price formation the chances favor falling path to continue.



Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. We can see that on the last trading sessions the volume of trading dropped and that is mainly due to range trading. Any break of the upper level at 1.3413 or lower level at 1.3333 should be coupled by increased volume so to be considered as a valid breakout.

EURUSD

Looking at the oscillators, Stochastic is in neutral territory, the OsMA has been gradually advancing but now is neutral as well and the RSI (14) made higher highs and higher lows suggesting that we may see an upside renewal. In our opinion, the price structure favors a lower break out which could happen soon according to Bollinger bands’ squeeze. However, the strong support at 1.3336 would not give up its ground easily and for that reason we would prefer to confirm any break out with high volume. Next support is seen at 1.3208. In the alternative scenario, prices could breach upper level at 1.3413 and rise toward 50.0% of 1.37 to 1.3333, at 1.3507. However, should the prices breach support at 1.3336 that would suggest the currency pair would continue its bearish development without a corrective move, towards next support at 1.3191.


抵抗線/支持線RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
水準1.35621.35071.34131.33331.32081.3102



2014年8月19日 @ 10:04

EUR/USD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the Euro against the US dollar forex pair. As we can see at the price chart the currency pair is in a down trend as indicated by the falling trend line. The weekly rising trend line has been well before breached to the downside signifying that upside had come to an end. Moreover, the SMAs are above the prices adding to the negative pressure. However, the currency pair stopped at long term support level at 1.3333 which is the lowest since November 2013. Pressure to the downside is likely to persist according to the price pattern but we would not expect the strong support to give up easily.


Looking at the oscillators, Stochastic is rising suggesting that prices may react positively in the intraday. The OsMA is also gradually advancing and the RSI (14) provides an interesting sign, a bullish divergence. The latter indicates bears are weak and likely do not have the power to drive prices lower. In our opinion, the strong support at 1.3333 and the bullish divergence raise the possibilities for a corrective upside reaction and the downside chances are diminishing. The retracement could move initially to resistance at 1.3507 and should the move get deeper could even move towards, 61.8% of 1.3700 to 1.3333, at 1.3562.


Questions and suggestions:[email protected]

抵抗線/支持線RES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
水準1.35621.35071.34321.33331.31911.3102



2014年8月11日 @ 10:10

 

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