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Análisis técnico rss Análisis técnico

Volatilidad

El valor Máx. / Mín. de los precios de cierre se determinan en los últimos 20 días de comercio; Desviación Estandar, - Convertido en términos anuales, expresa de la desviación estándar de los incrementos diarios


Máx. Min. Semana % Mes % YTD % desviación estándar
EUR/USD 1.3429 1.3188 -0.98% -1.65% 1.66% 3.73%
GBP/USD 1.6913 1.6569 -0.26% -2.19% 6.66% 4.26%
USD/JPY 104.03 102.04 1.01% 1.78% 35.01% 4.45%
USD/CHF 0.9158 0.9023 0.74% 0.98% -2.30% 4.18%
AUD/USD 0.9353 0.9261 0.25% -0.64% -9.06% 5.47%
USD/CAD 1.0982 1.0885 0.16% 0.99% 7.76% 4.62%


correlación

Los coeficientes de correlación están determinados para los incrementos diarios, de los últimos 20 días de comercio.


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.82 -0.88 -0.92 0.04 -0.64
GBP/USD 0.82 1 -0.73 -0.58 0.07 -0.46
USD/JPY -0.88 -0.73 1 0.88 0.09 0.55
USD/CHF -0.92 -0.58 0.88 1 -0.03 0.66
AUD/USD 0.04 0.07 0.09 -0.03 1 -0.37
USD/CAD -0.64 -0.46 0.55 0.66 -0.37 1




Intrumentos de Análisis



GBP/USD

Let us consider a technical situation on british pound. Last daily correction has broken the bearish trend line and has started the new bullish momentum. A breakdown resulted into a new support level above the former trendline. Donchian Channel confirms a bullish bias of a trend channel. New trend line is strengthened by historical values of ParabolicSAR as well. It should be noted that MACD indicator has formed a new maximum above the resistance – the significant signal of trend possible acceleration. In such a way all represented instruments verify the basic direction of price movement. We should note that the support level 1.45525 may be taken into account while planning a risk management scheme.
NivelRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Valor1.60261.59451.58371.55031.50851.4859



20 de mayo de 2015 @ 17:55

USD/JPY

Let’s consider the daily chart of USD/JPY currency pair. The triangle breakdown led to the birth of a new bullish tendency, which is confirmed by trend indicator ParabolicSAR and decline of Donchian Channel. It should be remarked that an upward tendency has been formed by RSI-Bars signal. We expect a continuation of trend after the break down of RSI resistance line. Most probably it will be triggered by a corresponding price resistance intersection at 122.041. This level is confirmed by Bill Williams’s fractal and the upper boundary of Donchian Channel. Besides this mark has been once tested by the upper top of triangle. That’s why the resistance intersection may trigger a new highly volatile upward motion.
NivelRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Valor121.97120.37119.89120.63118.63118.29



20 de marzo de 2015 @ 13:39

EUR/USD

Let’s consider the daily chart of USD/JPY currency pair. The triangle breakdown led to the birth of a new bullish tendency, which is confirmed by trend indicator ParabolicSAR and decline of Donchian Channel. It should be remarked that an upward tendency has been formed by RSI-Bars signal. We expect a continuation of trend after the break down of RSI resistance line. Most probably it will be triggered by a corresponding price resistance intersection at 122.041. This level is confirmed by Bill Williams’s fractal and the upper boundary of Donchian Channel. Besides this mark has been once tested by the upper top of triangle. That’s why the resistance intersection may trigger a new highly volatile upward motion.
NivelRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Valor121.9670120.3720119.8890120.6310118.6280118.2940



20 de marzo de 2015 @ 11:50

USD/JPY

Let’s consider a daily chart of the USD/JPY trading instrument. A triangular chart model is already formed with a bearish decline. A price updated local minimums of a Donchian channel. The RSI-Bars oscillator signal verifies a basic decline as well, however we recommend conservative traders to look for a support breakdown (35.1257%). Probably this will happen simultaneously with a breakdown of a triangular downside. At the same time a reverse of the Parabolic trend indicator is expected. Finally we’ll take a confirmation from all available analytical tools. Preliminary risk limitation may be connected with a triangular height, the same for profit taking.

NivelRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Valor120.84120.01118.94117.15115.86115.41



3 de febrero de 2015 @ 18:26

USD/JPY

Good day, dear traders. Today we shall consider USDJPY pair at daily chart. The correction of price movement inside D1 bearish trend channel has been completed and a new momentum is forming. H4 decreasing tendency is confirmed by Donchian Channel indicator and RSI signal. However we may observe a temporary weakening of momentum – a fractal support 105.100 is strengthened by historical values of Parabolic. A reverse of indicator will happen if a price breaks this level and moves into the red zone. In this case a final confirmation of trend continuation will be received. A risk control may be implemented according to the significant levels of chart analysis with an account of Parabolic signal.

NivelRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Valor108.45108.45108.45105.10105.10105.10



30 de octubre de 2014 @ 13:26

AUD/USD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to analyze the Aussie against the US dollar chart. The currency pair bearish bias drove prices to a more than an 8-month low at 0.8661. Downside structure has been strong as indicated by the steep falling trend line. The steep falling trend line though was breached yesterday after the formation of a “Hammer with bullish Engulfing candlesticks”. That also shows the AUDUSD is making its larger correction since the 5th of September. The 10 day moving average is now limiting the pull back slightly below the resistance at 0.8839, however prices could continue to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 0.8934. Lastly, the support at 0.8661 appears to be a strong one because is the second time that maintains a strong bearish wave.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is observable that after the September 12th the volume of trading remained at lower levels while prices have been declining suggesting that the bears are getting weaker.

AUDUSD


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is rising following the corrective move of prices and is trading in neutral zone at the moment. The OsMA has moved towards the zero line and is gradually advancing while the RSI (14) is now in up trend. In our opinion, prices are entering a period of retracement mood after overextension of the downside move however bulls do not seem willing to return in the market. Moreover, the today’s major US employment report is likely to shake the AUDUSD and could trigger a new selling wave in the short term. We do not expect the support at 0.8661 to be penetrated given its importance. Also according to the volume analysis bears’ power is fading and sooner or later a deeper correction is likely.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

NivelRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
Valor0.91150.89430.88390.86610.85950.8445



3 de octubre de 2014 @ 09:58

 

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