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USD/CAD تحليل فنّي rss تحليل فنّي

التقلّب

إن قيم الاقصى/الادنى لقيم اسعار الاقفال محددة لآخر 20 يوم تجاري; الانحراف المعياري سنوياً من عائدات شهر واحد يومياًَ.


الأقصى الأدنى الاسبوع % شهر % YTD % الانحراف المعياري
EUR/USD 1.3429 1.3188 -0.98% -1.65% 1.66% 3.73%
GBP/USD 1.6913 1.6569 -0.26% -2.19% 6.66% 4.26%
USD/JPY 104.03 102.04 1.01% 1.78% 35.01% 4.45%
USD/CHF 0.9158 0.9023 0.74% 0.98% -2.30% 4.18%
AUD/USD 0.9353 0.9261 0.25% -0.64% -9.06% 5.47%
USD/CAD 1.0982 1.0885 0.16% 0.99% 7.76% 4.62%


الارتباط

معاملات الارتباط محددة للزيادات اليومية لآخر 20 يوم تجاري


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF AUD/USD USD/CAD
EUR/USD 1 0.82 -0.88 -0.92 0.04 -0.64
GBP/USD 0.82 1 -0.73 -0.58 0.07 -0.46
USD/JPY -0.88 -0.73 1 0.88 0.09 0.55
USD/CHF -0.92 -0.58 0.88 1 -0.03 0.66
AUD/USD 0.04 0.07 0.09 -0.03 1 -0.37
USD/CAD -0.64 -0.46 0.55 0.66 -0.37 1




تحليل الادوات



USD/CAD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. In the last trading sessions upside bias drove prices to recent cap at 1.1217 and in the last two daily trading sessions prices retreated due to overbought indicators. The cap at 1.1217 could be a strong one since is at the 161.8% Fibonacci level of the retracement from 1.1097 to 1.0909. Moreover, the Simple Mving Averages are below prices which increase upside momentum and the valid rising trend line remains in place confirming bullish development. Based on the price pattern we could see a pull back at the support at 1.0997 andwe could take advantage of that retracement although is too risky ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls release. Yesterday the release of private employment showed higher job creation in September and that gives a signal of a possible stronger NFP in September as well. We should check oscillators and volume for further clues before establishing an opinion.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is observable, that on the second half of September the volume of trading was steady, more specifically the volume peaked at 11 of September when prices peaked at 1.1097 but at the higher high of prices at 1.1217 the volume did not follow. That could be a warning signal for the bulls since they seem to be fading.

USDCAD


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic has been in overbought zone and now is falling. The MACD is in positive ground but at extreme highs and the OsMA was limited by previous peaks line. In our opinion, we would expect the retracement to continue lower or extend in a sideways path. Upside revive seems possible amid strong up trend but the bulls are weak as the volume analysis revealed. Nevertheless we are ahead of major economic releases which could create new bullish bias and boost the USDCAD. One last thing to keep in mind is that the resistance at 1.1275 is a five year peak and is considered a strong one, likely to limit any bullish attempt.


مستوياتRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
الحجم1.14111.12751.12171.10971.09971.0909



2 أكتوبر، 2014 @ 10:22 ص

USD/CAD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. In the last trading sessions upside bias revived and that induced prices to return to the resistance at 1.1001. The cap at 1.1001 appears to be a strong one; first it locates at the 61.8% of the move from the more than 5-year peak at 1.1275 to 1.0620 and second previous two attempts to overpass it failed. Moreover, the currency pair is trading in a range formation between 1.1001/ 1.0810 as the both bears and bulls are equally strong. The support at 1.0810 could be a major one because prices made previous bottoms there and the 50 Simple Moving Average provides a downside hurdle as well. We could take advantage of the range trading formation by selling at the upper boundary and going long at the lower but we should check oscillators and volume for further clues before establishing an opinion.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is observable, that on the last trading sessions the volume of trading was increasing and that works as a confirmation of the last bullish candlesticks. Also we see that when prices have been at the bottom at 1.0810 the volume was low while at 1.1001 the trading activity is high. Lastly, a break of the upper level at 1.1001 should be coupled by increased volume in order for that break through to be considered as valid.

USDCAD


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic has approached oversold zone, the MACD is in positive ground suggesting the bullish bias and the OsMA is positive. The Bollinger bands have narrowed and that suggests a break out is becoming more imminent. In our opinion, chances are slightly favoring the upside scenario because in the longer term the trend is positive, daily term oscillators do not restrict bullish break out and the volume of trading favors the bull run. Trading the range by going short at top it’s our alternative scenario but it’s a risky trade and should be implemented only with tight stop loss. Finally, a breakthrough of resistance at 1.1001 could drive prices to next cap at 1.1109 which is the 161.8% of 1.1001 to 1.0810.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

مستوياتRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
الحجم1.12751.11941.10011.08101.07061.0620



11 سبتمبر، 2014 @ 9:51 ص

USD/CAD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. In the last trading sessions downside bias revived and that induced prices to return to the support at 1.0859, like we have predicted in the last analysis. The currency pair inched below 1.0859, where lower Bollinger band is situated, to as low as 1.0808 but prices then pulled back and daily candles failed to close below 1.0859. That indicates buy orders are placed around that support and that obstructs the downside way. As we can see at the chart, bearish development would be established and the falling trend line would be validated should the prices penetrate the bottom at 1.0859. Moreover, currently the Simple Moving Averages are above prices except the 50 SMA which is placed at 1.0808 and that adds to the strong support hypothesis.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is observable, that on the last two trading sessions the volume of trading decreased substantially while when prices fell to support at 1.0859 the volume was high. That works as a confirmation of the last bearish candlestick. Any break of the lower level at 1.0859 or at 1.0808 should be coupled by increased volume in order for that break through to be considered as valid.

USDCAD


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is close to the oversold zone and that suggests there is a limited chance for prices to continue their downward path. The MACD is in positive ground but declining and the OsMA is negative close to previous bottoms. In our opinion, chances are favoring the falling scenario in the longer term however strong support zone between 1.0859/1.0808 would not give up its ground easily. For this week we would expect prices to continue mainly in sideways due to major economic releases in both Canada and US shadowing forex trading.


مستوياتRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
الحجم1.09831.09511.08591.08081.07761.0706



1 سبتمبر، 2014 @ 10:54 ص

USD/CAD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. In the last trading sessions upside bias revived and that induced prices to return to the resistance at 1.0985. As we can see at the chart, bullish development would be established and the rising trend line would be validated should the prices penetrate the cap at 1.0985. Currently the Simple Moving Averages are below price and that adds to the bullish expectations. However, the cap at 1.0985 is almost a 4-month high and has previously held attempts of the currency pair to reach higher ground.


Furthermore, at the below chart we can see the daily volumes of futures and options traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. It is observable, that on the last trading sessions the volume of trading was increasing and that works as a confirmation of the last bullish candlesticks. Any break of the upper level at 1.0985 should be coupled by increased volume in order for that break through to be considered as valid.

USDCAD


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is in the oversold zone and that suggests there is limited chance for prices to continue their upward path. The MACD is in positive ground confirming the bullish bias but the OsMA is negative. In our opinion, chances are slightly favoring the falling scenario in the immediate trading due to the strong resistance and overbought Stochastic. However, due to the highly watched annual economic symposium at Jackson Hole which could underpin rising bias we would be cautious in our trading. Lastly, in the longer term should the advancing trend line maintain ground together with a lower Stochastic, then chances would reverse in favor of the upside.


مستوياتRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
الحجم1.11941.10611.09851.08591.07061.0620



21 أغسطس، 2014 @ 10:30 ص

USD/CAD

Hello, dear traders. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. Deep corrective move from support at 1.0620 eventually drew a resistance line at 1.0985 which is a more than 2–month high and extended in sideways trading. The falling trend line as we can see has been long before breached signifying the bullish weakness. Currently the Simple Moving Averages are below prices providing an extra support and together with the rising trend line suggest that upside bias is strong.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic has retraced from the overbought zone and that provides the chance to prices to continue their upward path. The MACD is in positive ground and the OsMA is gradually falling suggesting weakness. In our opinion, chances are slightly favoring the continuation of previous upside structure. However, that should be confirmed by a valid breach of the upper boundary at 1.0985. Alternatively, should the USDCAD prices penetrate the lower boundary at 1.0903 that could indicate reversal of the rising development and chances would favor downside trajectory.


مستوياتRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
الحجم1.11941.10611.09851.09031.08241.0706



12 أغسطس، 2014 @ 10:06 ص

USD/CAD

Hello to all traders out there. Today we are going to look into the US dollar against the Canadian dollar chart pattern. The currency couple is slightly below the resistance at 1.0960 after a strong rebound from support at 1.0630. The US dollar recovered all the ground lost in June against the Canadian. The falling trend line was breached and we can see that there is an attempt for establishing a bullish trend line. Prices at the moment are above all the Simple Moving Averages which they go for a triple bullish cross. However, we can see that the USDCAD has now reached the 50.0% Fibonacci level of 1.1275 to 1.0630, at 1.0959 and that suggests that is a strong resistance there.


Looking at the oscillators, the Stochastic is in the overbought zone and that suggests bears are getting stronger as the bulls are already bought. At the same time though the MACD is rising and the OsMA is at previous peak’s line. In our opinion and based on that analysis, we consider the resistance at 1.0959 a strong level which could hold the rising attitude of the USDCAD. Thus, we expect some sideways in the lower timeframe to create a reversal pattern before the downside bias revives. We would expect the prices to breach support at 1.0892 ahead of the following support at 1.0813.


Questions and suggestions:analytics@infinmarkets.com

مستوياتRES 3RES 2RES 1SUP 1SUP 2SUP 3
الحجم1.12101.10611.09591.08921.08131.0708



4 أغسطس، 2014 @ 1:36 م

 

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